For football fans, the Super Bowl may be over but for me, mine hasn’t started yet. This Sunday is the Academy Awards and the only playbook in sight is the one Harvey Weinstein is pushing hard for. Will it be Silver Lining’s night or Argo’s? This has been the most unpredictable and surprising race in years featuring a stellar line-up of nominees. AFF …
For football fans, the Super Bowl may be over but for me, mine hasn’t started yet. This Sunday is the Academy Awards and the only playbook in sight is the one Harvey Weinstein is pushing hard for. Will it be Silver Lining’s night or Argo’s? This has been the most unpredictable and surprising race in years featuring a stellar line-up of nominees. AFF is represented well here as our 2012 festival line-up included Silver Linings Playbook, Flight, The Sessions, and short film nominees Asad, Buzkashi Boys, and Head Over Heals. I’ve included my predictions below in all 24 categories. I’ll start off with an analysis of my two favorite categories, Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Original Screenplay. Click on each of the titles to download the PDF of the script (Lincoln is not available).
Best Adapted Screenplay
Argo by Chris Terrio
Beasts of the Southern Wild by Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi by David Magee
Lincoln by Tony Kushner
Predicted winner: Argo
Chris Terrio’s tight script never lags and does a phenomenal job of keeping the audience in suspense despite already knowing the outcome. And with tons of smart, funny one-liners, Chris Terrio could be telling the other nominees “Argof*ckyourself” on Sunday. Tony Kushner has enough respectability in the industry to pull off a win but I think Argo will continue its winning streak here.
Best Original Screenplay
Amour by Michael Haneke
Django Unchained by Quentin Tarantino
Flight by John Gatins
Moonrise Kingdom by Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola
Zero Dark Thirty by Mark Boal
Predicted winner: Django Unchained
Quentin Tarantino has already won some key awards so far for original screenplay so I’d say he’s the favorite. I’m sure some residual love from Inglorious Basterds and the box office success of Django can’t hurt either. Mark Boal did win the WGA award but Tarantino wasn’t eligible for a nomination and Michael Haneke could surprise here too.
And here is the full list of my predictions:
Best Picture: Argo
Best Director: Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
Best Adapted Screenplay: Chris Terrio – Argo
Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway – Les Miserables
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
Best Production Design: Anna Karenina
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Hair & Makeup: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Best Editing: Argo
Best Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
Best Sound Editing: Life of Pi
Best Original Score: Life of Pi
Best Original Song: Skyfall
Best Animated Feature: Brave
Best Documentary Feature: Searching for Sugar Man
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Live Action Short: Curfew
Best Animated Short: Paperman
Best Documentary Short: Open Heart
Check back after the show on Sunday and see how I did!
–Matt Dy, Screenplay & Teleplay Competition Director
If you think you have what it takes to correctly predict the Oscar winners, take a chance at our Oscars Prediction Contest and you could win a Producers Badge or a Film Pass to the 2013 Austin Film Festival! For more information, click here.
You’ve seen all the films, you’ve picked your favorites, and now you’re ready to make your predictions. Try your luck at predicting the 85th Annual Academy Award® winners with AFF’s Oscar Prediction Contest! Austin Film Festival is the place to get your Oscars fix in October. Past panelists include Academy Award® Winners Ron Howard, Oliver Stone (pictured right), Sydney Pollack and more! The top five …
You’ve seen all the films, you’ve picked your favorites, and now you’re ready to make your predictions.
Try your luck at predicting the 85th Annual Academy Award® winners with AFF’s Oscar Prediction Contest! Austin Film Festival is the place to get your Oscars fix in October. Past panelists include Academy Award® Winners Ron Howard, Oliver Stone (pictured right), Sydney Pollack and more! The top five entrants who most closely predict the winners of the categories below will each win one Film Pass to the 2013 Austin Film Festival. All contest entrants will be entered in a drawing to win a Grand Prize of one Producers Badge for the 2013 Austin Film Festival! The contest is open as of Wednesday, February 06, 2013 and will close at the start of the Academy Awards® telecast on February 24th at 7pm eastern time | 4pm pacific time. Ballots limited to one entry per person, many will enter, six will win, see below for full rules and regulations.
The Contest has now closed!
No purchase necessary to enter or win AFF’s Oscar Prediction Contest. Entry into this Contest constitutes your acceptance of these Official Rules:
Contest start date and time and end date and time as outlined in AFF Blog post “Enter AFF’s Oscar Prediction Contest!”
To enter, entrants must fill out entire ballot as provided above along with first and last name, email address, and agree to Austin Film Festivals Terms and Condition as outlined here. All entries must be received by date and time outlined in “Enter AFf’s Oscar Prediction Contest!”. For purposes of these Official Rules, “receipt” of Entry occurs when Austin Film Festival’s servers record the Entry information resulting from contestants’ entry being received in the inbox area. Any automated computer receipt (such as one confirming delivery of email) does not constitute proof of actual receipt by Austin Film Festival for purposes of these Official Rules.
Austin Film Festival reserves the right to disqualify any Entry for any reason, in its sole and absolute discretion.
Top 5 Entries will be judged based on proximity to actual 85th Academy Awards® winners. The top scoring Entries will be declared the Contest winner (“Winner”)Grand Prize winner will be judged based on randomly generated calculation. All Entrants are eligible for Grand Prize.Only one entry per person, duplicate entries will not be counted. In the event of a tie for the Top 5 Entries, winners will be chosen based on timing of entry.
Winners will be determined after the Contest’s end date and will be notified by email. Winners will be required to provide mailing address which will be used to fulfill the prize. At the discretion of the Austin Film Festival, Winner may be disqualified for any of the following reasons: not eligible based on the eligibility requirements set forth above. In the event it is determined within the specified time period, has made false statements or a prize notification is returned as undeliverable, then the Winner will be disqualified at Austin Film Festival’s sole discretion, the Entry with the next highest score may then be declared the alternate Winner.
The Number of prize winners is as listed above. Winner is solely responsible for all expenses, costs or fees associated with transportation and acceptance and/or use of the prize not specified herein as being awarded, including without limitation, and and all taxes (if any). Winner is not a recipient of a prize until they have been verified as the Winner by the Austin Film Festival. Upon fulfilling prize, Austin Film Festival will be deemed to have awarded the prize to the Winners and such Winners assume full responsibility for the prize. All prize details are at Austin Film Festival’s discretion.
Entrants acknowledge that transportation, if applicable, is not included in the prize and that any events are beyond the control of Austin Film Festival and are subject to being rescheduled, modified, or cancelled. In that event, Austin Film Festival reserves the right to, at its discretion, reschedule the events, cancel the Contest, or cancel the awarding of the prizes. Prizes are not redeemable for cash or any other value. Upgrades for Film Pass prizes are available at the cost of the Winner.
Winning constitutes permission (except where prohibited by law) to use Winner’s name, images, hometown, likeness, prize won, and photograph (all at Austin Film Festival’s discretion) for future advertising, publicity in any and all media now or hereafter devised throughout the world in perpetuity, without additional compensation notification or permission. Contest Parties and their respective officers, directors, agents, representatives, and employees (collectively, “Released Parties”) are not responsible for lost, late, misdirected, damaged, stolen, altered, garbled, incorrect, incomplete or delayed Entries; all of which will be void. Released Parties are also not responsible for for problems related to technical malfunctions of electronic equipment, computer online systems, servers, or providers, computer hardware or software failures, phone lines, failure of any Entry to be received by Sponsor on account of technical problems, traffic, congestion on the internet or the website, or for any other technical problems including telecommunication, miscommunication or failure, and failed, lost, delayed, incomplete, garbled, or misdirected communications which may limit a contestant’s ability to participate in this Contest. Released Parties are not responsible for any other errors or malfunctions of any kind, whether network, printing, typographical, human or otherwise relating to or in connection with the Contest, including, without limitation, errors or malfunctions with may occur in connection with the administration of the Contest, the processing or judging of Entries, the announcement of the prize or in any Contest-related materials. Mass entries generated by a script, macro or use of automated devices will be disqualified. Austin Film Festival reserves the right to modify, suspend or terminate the Contest in the event it becomes infected by a computer virus or is otherwise technically impaired, and to cancel or suspend the Contest in its entirety should tampering, unauthorized intervention, fraud, technical failures or other causes corrupt the administration, security, fairness, integrity or proper play of the Contest and, if terminated, at Austin Film Festival’s discretion, determine the Winner using all non-suspect, eligible entries received up to time of cancellation using the judging procedure outlined above. In the event of a dispute regarding entries received from multiple users having the same email account, the authorized subscriber of the email account at the time of Entry will be deemed to be the contestant and must comply with these Official Rules. Authorized subscriber is the natural person who is assigned the email address by the Internet Service Provider (ISP), online service provider, or other organization responsible for assigning email addresses. Austin Film Festival reserves the right at its sole discretion to disqualify any individual (and void his/her Entries)) it finds to be tampering with the Entry process or the operation of this Contest or website, intending to annoy, abuse, threaten or harass any other contestant, Sponsor, or any of its representatives or to otherwise be acting in violation of these Official Rules. CAUTION: Any attempt by a contestant to deliberately damage any website or undermine the legitimate operations of the Contest is a violation of criminal and civil laws. Should such an attempt be made, the Austin Film Festival reserves the right to seek damages from any such contestant to the fullest extent permitted by the law and to disqualify such contestant from the Contest.
Failure to comply with these Official Rules may result in disqualification from the Contest. Austin Film Festival reserves the right to permanently disqualify any person it believes has intentionally violated these Official Rules. Contest subject to all federal, state and local laws and regulations. Void where prohibited by law.
Winner(s) will be announced in a website blog posting.
There were a lot of proud faces on television screens around the world Sunday night, as the Academy Awards presented their annual prizes to a few lucky filmmakers. In fact, anyone who played a part in the triumph of an Oscar-winning film had reason to be proud, particularly those involved with the Best Picture winner, “The Artist.” Originally screened at Cannes, this little black-and-white silent …
Nothing brings the staff of a film festival greater joy than seeing one of its programmed films going on to conquer the hearts and minds of moviegoers everywhere. We were also so pleased to see “The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore,” which won both our Jury and our Audience Award for Best Animated Short, go on to win the Oscar in that category. I can remember the day that my fellow film programmer, Stephen Belyeu, and I watched that film for the first time. We both knew we had just seen something very special, and we were so honored to introduce it to our festival audience and the Austin moviegoing community at large. Those are the moments that make this job so rewarding, and we can’t wait to do it all over again this October. Here’s to another year at the movies!
Even with some last minute changes to the predictions I initially posted, I still ended up predicting only 17 out of 24 categories last night. Not my best by any means but alas, there’s always next year when the Dark Knight Rises will sweep the 2013 Oscars (one can still dream I guess). It’s funny how obvious the outcome seems now in retrospect. In this …
- I realized I was born the same year Meryl Streep won her last Oscar for Sophie’s Choice. I can’t wait to see her win another 29 years later when she won’t need makeup to play Margaret Thatcher again in The Iron Lady 2.
- The telecast was rather dull and I wonder what Eddie Murphy would have brought to the show if he had hosted. Heck, Ellen DeGeneres’ JC Penney commercials were considerably funnier.
- I did not realize Twilight belonged in the pantheon of great movie moments.
- Comedic anecdotes from presenters are almost never funny unless you can speak Mandarin like Sandra Bullock, or your names are Will Ferrell and Mack Zalifigakas.
- My thoughts from watching the In Memoriam montage: “All those people are dead???”
- I would like to play a drinking game with the Bridesmaids. “Scorsese!”
- Viola Davis is gorgeous. I’ll predict she’ll win an Oscar in the future or at least end up on Joan Rivers’ best dressed list.
- Never underestimate the power of Harvey Weinstein. Three of his films won Oscars (The Artist, The Iron Lady, and Undefeated)
- The Academy really needs to reevaluate its voting process for Best Original Song. Only two nominees this year? And it was a crime The Muppets didn’t get to perform the winning song, “Man or Muppet”!
- Christopher Plummer is just two years younger than the Academy Awards?
- Billy Crystal can read minds. I’m glad we all finally know what goes on in Marty Scorsese’s and Nick Nolte’s heads. AND…
- I need to stop obsessing over the Oscars and get back to writing my script!
–Matt Dy, Screenplay & Teleplay Competition Director
Taylor here, AFF Marketing Director. Welcome to the Austin Film Festival’s live blogging of the 84th annual Academy Awards. Stick around for updates throughout the evening! 7:25pm CST 5 minutes ’til show time! Is is just me or does one of the commentators look like a mini Steve Martin Scorsese? 7:32pm CST Two minutes in and we start the show with a George-on-Billy liplock. 7:36pm CST …
Taylor here, AFF Marketing Director. Welcome to the Austin Film Festival’s live blogging of the 84th annual Academy Awards. Stick around for updates throughout the evening!
5 minutes ’til show time! Is is just me or does one of the commentators look like a mini Steve Martin Scorsese?
Two minutes in and we start the show with a George-on-Billy liplock.
First film mentioned: Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close. Want a chance to own a signed script of the film? Get your Producers Badge before the end of February and you’ll be entered to win one of two copies!
Bill Crystal’s first musical number.
Best Cinematography: Robert Richardson – Hugo
Best Art Direction: Hugo
Best Costume Design: The Artist – Mark Bridges
Makeup: The Iron Lady
Foreign Language Film: A Separation
Best Actress In a Supporting Role: Octavia Spencer, The Help
So far, Matt Dy’s been pretty on point with his predictions!
Christopher Guest’s cast acts as focus group for Wizard of Oz! Hilarious!
Film Editing: The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Now that signed script of GIRL we have is an OSCAR WINNING SCRIPT! Wanna a shot at winning it? Get your Producers Badge by Feb 29th.
Sound Editing: Hugo
Sound Mixing: Hugo
North by Northwest Peewee Herman lookalikes are bungee jumping around the Kodak Theater.
Best Documentary Feature: Undefeated
Best Animated Feature: Rango
Emma Stone is winning best dressed so far, in my humble opinion. Plus, she’s hilarious.
Visual Effects: Hugo
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Best Oscar speech so far.
Original Score: Ludovic Bource, The Artist
Best Original Song: “Man or Muppet”, by Bret Mckenzie of Flight of the Conchords!
Best Adapted Screenplay: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash, The Descendants
Best Original Screenplay: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Best Live-Action Short Film: The Shore
Best Documentary Short: Saving Face
Best Animated Short-The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore! Congrats to this AFF 2011 Jury Award AND Audience Award Winner!
Best Director: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Best Actor: Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Best Motion Picture: The Artist, 2011 AFF Audience Award Winner!
Thanks for following my live blogging! If you want a chance to win a piece of Oscar history, buy your Producers Badge before the end of February to be entered to win one of three screenplays of 2012 Academy Award nominated films.
And everyone who buys any Badge type before the end of February to be entered to win a Producers Badge.
Will The Artist sweep the Oscars? Will Meryl Streep FINALLY win a long overdue second Oscar for lead actress? All will be answered this Sunday night when the awards will be handed out. The real question is… will people really care? Compared to last year, most of the films nominated this year haven’t really polarized the general public as much while the current frontrunner is …
And… to make a shameless plug, we have a special promotion in honor of the Oscars. Anyone who purchases a Producers Badge to the 2012 Austin Film Festival & Conference by Sunday, February 26th will be entered for a chance to win a copy of the screenplay of THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, signed by Academy Award®-winning writer Steven Zaillian!
Zaillian, who was awarded with the Distinguished Screenwriter Award at the 2009 Austin Film Festival, wrote both THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO and MONEYBALL, each earning a handful of Oscar nominations.
And everyone who has purchased a Conference Badge or below by February 26th will be entered in a raffle to win an upgrade to a Producers Badge! Click here to buy your Badge.
–Matt Dy, Screenplay & Teleplay Competition Director
A friend recently asked mewho I think will win the Super Bowl. Myresponse was: “The Super Bowl? It’s thisSunday? Are the Cowboys playing?” Obviously, I am not planning to watch thegame on Sunday (although I heard Madonna will be performing). Lately, my focus has been diverted to my ownversion of the Super Bowl: the Oscars. Some guys are into fantasy football; I’m into predicting the Oscars. …
The cinematic juggernaut that is The Artist continued steamrolling toward the Best Picture Oscar with several wins at the Golden Globes this past Sunday.Not too shabby for a black-and-white silent film from France that initially scared away several distributors before being picked up by The Weinstein Company.Anyone who has seen the film would say that these awards have been justly earned based on …
The cinematic juggernaut that is The Artist continued steamrolling toward the Best Picture Oscar with several wins at the Golden Globes this past Sunday.Not too shabby for a black-and-white silent film from France that initially scared away several distributors before being picked up by The Weinstein Company.Anyone who has seen the film would say that these awards have been justly earned based on the film’s quality, and they would be correct.The Artist is an absolute delight.However, that doesn’t stop industry cynics from crediting this silent film’s accolades to one of the most aggressive campaigners in the history of awards, Harvey Weinstein, who is anything but silent.
The validity of film awards has increasingly come under question over the years, and the lengths to which awards campaigners will go to win awards for their films are the stuff of legend.Listen to rumors and hearsay, and you’d think that Weinstein stops just shy of threatening murder to get his films the recognition they deserve, which leads many to believe that these awards are meritless and unimportant.But I’d like to take this opportunity to make a bold statement: They’re wrong.
Ask any filmmaker or production studio, “Who do you want in your corner come Oscar season?” and you’ll more than likely hear them say Harvey Weinstein’s name.That’s because they recognize how important these awards truly are.The value of having “Academy Award Winner” stamped on a DVD cover is immeasurable; in fact, it is almost required if an independent or foreign film hopes to sell any copies at the local Target.That’s because, for the average moviegoer, the Oscars provide a quick summary of the best (well, one version of the best) films in a given year, films that an average moviegoer may not have had access to in their local movie theater.
I can speak to this issue from a personal angle.As a young film lover growing up in small-town Texas, my first chance at seeing a film like The Artist would’ve been home video.Films that run for weeks in LA or NYC cinemas never make it as far as Southeast Texas, so I used award nominations and critics lists as a guide to what I should look for at my local movie rental.Although the circumstances have changed a bit (rentals have given way to iTunes and Netflix), the basic facts are still the same: many great films don’t reach a broader audience until after they leave the cinema.That’s why these films need the awards season, and that’s why we need it, too.
– Stephen Jannise, Film Program Director